Creative Castings Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:99.15% (-9.15%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2884 | 0.97 | |
| 0.2035 | 4.05 | |
| 0.7485 | 11.24 | |
| 8.7379 | 3.29 | |
| -12.6299 | -4.05 | |
| 6.2777 | 2.08 | |
| -4.2951 | -1.41 | |
| 3.0634 | 1.28 | |
| -1.2564 | -0.70 | |
| -0.5578 | -0.43 | |
| 1.0582 | 0.69 | |
| -0.2871 | -0.14 | |
| -0.2411 | -0.07 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 6, 2016 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 6, 2016 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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