Cokal Limited Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:153.47% (+7.90%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7386 | 2.33 | |
| 0.1743 | 5.83 | |
| 0.5796 | 8.51 | |
| -1.6924 | -3.80 | |
| 2.3495 | 4.18 | |
| -0.9875 | -3.83 | |
| 1.1100 | 4.37 | |
| -1.6853 | -5.45 | |
| 1.3152 | 3.95 | |
| -0.4386 | -1.65 | |
| 0.0598 | 0.25 | |
| -0.0184 | -0.07 | |
| 0.1722 | 0.45 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 17, 2000 to Feb 6, 2026
Apr 17, 2000 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
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