Chemring Group PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:37.92% (+3.29%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8991 | 3.98 | |
| 0.1685 | 6.27 | |
| 0.6375 | 11.79 | |
| 0.0865 | 1.09 | |
| -0.0293 | -0.27 | |
| -0.1915 | -3.06 | |
| 0.2410 | 3.24 | |
| -0.1558 | -2.28 | |
| 0.0956 | 1.98 | |
| -0.1224 | -2.53 | |
| 0.1444 | 2.43 | |
| -0.1381 | -1.97 | |
| 0.1862 | 2.37 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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