Cogstate Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:56.04% (+4.72%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9423 | 5.07 | |
| 0.1271 | 5.27 | |
| 0.5959 | 6.94 | |
| -0.3129 | -1.66 | |
| 0.3733 | 1.39 | |
| -0.0003 | -0.00 | |
| -0.3957 | -2.77 | |
| 1.0092 | 5.91 | |
| -1.2334 | -5.58 | |
| 0.7061 | 2.50 | |
| -0.2354 | -0.72 | |
| 0.4189 | 1.04 |
Estimation Period:
Feb 13, 2004 to Feb 6, 2026
Feb 13, 2004 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
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