Card Factory PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:62.51% (+0.38%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6401 | 2.76 | |
| 0.1718 | 3.75 | |
| 0.4546 | 5.48 | |
| -0.4144 | -0.57 | |
| 0.9753 | 0.86 | |
| -1.0996 | -1.18 | |
| 1.1341 | 1.45 | |
| -1.0524 | -1.45 | |
| 0.3398 | 0.48 | |
| 0.2659 | 0.49 | |
| -0.3619 | -0.67 | |
| 1.3849 | 1.26 |
Estimation Period:
May 14, 2014 to Feb 13, 2026
May 14, 2014 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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