Alligator Bioscience Ab Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:139.64% (+6.06%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4559 | 4.12 | |
| 0.2441 | 3.57 | |
| 0.3020 | 3.02 | |
| 0.8976 | 1.63 | |
| -0.4911 | -0.53 | |
| -1.5175 | -1.33 | |
| 1.8300 | 1.50 | |
| -0.6322 | -0.58 | |
| -0.6063 | -0.52 | |
| 1.1436 | 1.10 | |
| -1.1974 | -0.96 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 23, 2016 to Feb 13, 2026
Nov 23, 2016 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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