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	param	t-stat
$ω$	0.8927	5.78
$α$	0.1279	4.62
$β$	0.8103	20.57
$γ_{1}$	0.1169	1.99
$γ_{2}$	-0.0414	-0.44
$γ_{3}$	-0.3947	-3.27

V-Lab

Aroundtown SA Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:63.22% (-5.77%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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