Austal Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:176.47% (+103.21%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8342 | 6.62 | |
| 0.1562 | 5.33 | |
| 0.5759 | 8.53 | |
| 0.0604 | 0.66 | |
| -0.2166 | -1.54 | |
| 0.3462 | 3.60 | |
| -0.3560 | -4.03 | |
| 0.2706 | 2.88 | |
| -0.1293 | -1.41 | |
| -0.0195 | -0.19 | |
| 0.1267 | 1.03 | |
| -0.1486 | -1.16 | |
| 0.2172 | 1.31 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 8, 1998 to Feb 13, 2026
Dec 8, 1998 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
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