Arsan Holding AS Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:64.39% (-7.58%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6064 | 4.20 | |
| 0.1814 | 8.75 | |
| 0.7300 | 22.82 | |
| -0.0582 | -1.52 | |
| 0.1322 | 2.42 | |
| -0.1446 | -3.94 | |
| 0.1386 | 3.71 | |
| -0.1107 | -2.48 | |
| 0.0789 | 1.25 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 1, 1998 to Feb 13, 2026
Jul 1, 1998 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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