Ari Real Estate Arena Invest Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Sunday, February 15th, 2026:31.99% (-1.68%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7666 | 3.94 | |
| 0.1063 | 4.42 | |
| 0.7788 | 17.39 | |
| 0.3607 | 1.32 | |
| -0.3610 | -0.81 | |
| -0.1358 | -0.41 | |
| 0.4179 | 1.64 | |
| -0.5667 | -2.52 | |
| 0.5312 | 2.42 | |
| -0.4674 | -2.07 | |
| 0.1064 | 0.37 | |
| 0.3951 | 1.28 | |
| -0.3613 | -1.16 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 3, 2009 to Feb 13, 2026
Aug 3, 2009 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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