Arigato Universe Limited Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:60.23% (+1.83%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7685 | 3.40 | |
| 0.1003 | 5.60 | |
| 0.7587 | 13.39 | |
| -0.4162 | -0.57 | |
| 0.6143 | 0.53 | |
| -0.3155 | -0.37 | |
| 0.4589 | 0.56 | |
| -0.7604 | -0.88 | |
| 1.2148 | 1.41 | |
| -1.5022 | -2.19 | |
| 0.5967 | 1.24 | |
| 0.8056 | 2.20 | |
| -1.3132 | -3.30 |
Estimation Period:
May 3, 2013 to Feb 13, 2026
May 3, 2013 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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