Aradei Capital SA Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:22.13% (+0.36%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5638 | 3.47 | |
| 0.2970 | 5.31 | |
| 0.4684 | 5.26 | |
| 0.8519 | 1.02 | |
| -1.9726 | -1.65 | |
| 1.7205 | 2.18 | |
| -1.8349 | -2.20 | |
| 4.0234 | 3.41 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 14, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
Dec 14, 2020 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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