Ariadne Australia Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:61.23% (-5.60%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4947 | 5.24 | |
| 0.1542 | 7.33 | |
| 0.6899 | 18.24 | |
| -0.0896 | -1.07 | |
| 0.0230 | 0.19 | |
| 0.2233 | 2.48 | |
| -0.3131 | -3.67 | |
| 0.3510 | 4.10 | |
| -0.3922 | -4.16 | |
| 0.3570 | 3.18 | |
| -0.2831 | -1.48 | |
| 0.2086 | 0.91 | |
| -0.2006 | -0.94 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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