Alliance Aviation Services Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:113.60% (+41.26%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1713 | 5.27 | |
| 0.1639 | 4.36 | |
| 0.5503 | 7.75 | |
| 0.5715 | 3.11 | |
| -1.0711 | -3.60 | |
| 0.8143 | 2.72 | |
| -0.4530 | -1.50 | |
| 0.1985 | 0.92 | |
| -0.0715 | -0.41 | |
| 0.4386 | 1.31 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 20, 2011 to Feb 13, 2026
Dec 20, 2011 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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