Austin Engineering Limited Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:62.33% (-0.74%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2596 | 4.82 | |
| 0.1786 | 6.51 | |
| 0.5560 | 9.13 | |
| 0.1302 | 0.96 | |
| -0.1828 | -1.00 | |
| -0.0665 | -0.59 | |
| 0.3863 | 3.07 | |
| -0.2505 | -1.69 | |
| -0.3989 | -2.38 | |
| 0.8078 | 5.35 | |
| -0.7334 | -5.73 | |
| 0.4379 | 2.77 | |
| 0.0309 | 0.14 |
Estimation Period:
Mar 9, 2004 to Feb 13, 2026
Mar 9, 2004 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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