Methanor Sca Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:57.83% (+4.90%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3708 | 3.09 | |
| 0.1390 | 3.98 | |
| 0.6769 | 10.17 | |
| 0.7429 | 1.81 | |
| -1.3117 | -2.31 | |
| 0.9599 | 2.76 | |
| -0.4906 | -1.40 | |
| 0.1359 | 0.35 | |
| 0.2926 | 0.79 | |
| -1.0376 | -2.30 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 22, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 22, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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