Alicon Castalloy Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:61.19% (-0.30%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4568 | 8.11 | |
| 0.0834 | 5.14 | |
| 0.7909 | 18.27 | |
| -0.0042 | -0.06 | |
| 0.0203 | 0.20 | |
| -0.0600 | -1.07 | |
| 0.1453 | 2.69 | |
| -0.2212 | -3.27 | |
| 0.2724 | 2.59 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 16, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 16, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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