S A Fountaine Pajot Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:31.32% (+8.16%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7676 | 3.98 | |
| 0.2357 | 7.10 | |
| 0.6375 | 15.54 | |
| -0.1209 | -0.97 | |
| 0.1681 | 0.91 | |
| -0.2240 | -1.87 | |
| 0.4531 | 3.99 | |
| -0.4837 | -4.50 | |
| 0.3055 | 2.96 | |
| -0.1631 | -0.97 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 3, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 3, 2007 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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