AL Ashghal AL Moysra Co Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Sunday, February 15th, 2026:45.58% (+3.64%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0010 | 2.79 | |
| 0.0372 | 0.83 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| -10.3446 | -0.24 | |
| 33.1298 | 0.55 | |
| -48.9808 | -1.79 | |
| 66.0903 | 1.69 | |
| -107.9409 | -1.76 | |
| 164.3725 | 2.76 | |
| -191.6740 | -4.42 | |
| 149.0236 | 4.73 | |
| -69.1240 | -1.80 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 24, 2024 to Feb 12, 2026
Jul 24, 2024 to Feb 12, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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