V-Lab
Abans Finance PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
56.40%
increased by 6.77%
1 Week
58.44%
increased by 8.81%
1 Month
63.58%
increased by 13.95%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 5, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3144 | 13.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0762 | 8.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8466 | 95.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0250 | 1.44 |
Persistence:
0.935
Half-life:
10 days
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