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V-Lab

Abans Finance PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

56.40%

increased by 6.77%

1 Week

58.44%

increased by 8.81%

1 Month

63.58%

increased by 13.95%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:35 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Abans Finance PLC GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 5, 2011 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3144
13.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0762
8.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8466
95.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0250
1.44

Persistence:

0.935

Half-life:

10 days