Aedas Homes Sau Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 10th, 2026:10.98% (-0.05%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7686 | 3.36 | |
| 0.1311 | 3.03 | |
| 0.5045 | 2.32 | |
| 0.0437 | 0.05 | |
| 0.5745 | 0.54 | |
| -1.9577 | -3.00 | |
| 2.5691 | 3.88 | |
| -1.8204 | -2.80 | |
| 0.5141 | 0.73 | |
| 0.5909 | 0.67 | |
| -2.4862 | -1.48 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 20, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 20, 2017 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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