ArcelorMittal South Africa Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:68.69% (-2.74%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7066 | 1.42 | |
| 0.1466 | 11.29 | |
| 0.8218 | 56.03 | |
| -0.0365 | -0.32 | |
| 0.1695 | 1.20 | |
| -0.2980 | -5.56 | |
| 0.2455 | 4.48 | |
| -0.1098 | -1.66 | |
| 0.0870 | 1.66 | |
| -0.0933 | -1.82 | |
| 0.0499 | 0.64 | |
| -0.0385 | -0.25 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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