Alan Allman Associate Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026:104.81% (-0.93%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3033 | 3.10 | |
| 0.2285 | 3.60 | |
| 0.3124 | 2.04 | |
| -4.8090 | -0.94 | |
| 5.6623 | 0.82 | |
| 0.9016 | 0.22 | |
| -6.8709 | -1.71 | |
| 14.0771 | 3.30 | |
| -17.4164 | -3.94 | |
| 19.6404 | 4.03 | |
| -25.2227 | -4.51 | |
| 23.1759 | 4.55 | |
| -6.5942 | -0.93 |
Estimation Period:
Apr 8, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
Apr 8, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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