Yellow Hat Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:28.61% (+2.69%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6376 | 6.90 | |
| 0.1701 | 6.32 | |
| 0.6470 | 13.53 | |
| -0.1059 | -2.27 | |
| 0.0204 | 0.29 | |
| 0.2100 | 4.18 | |
| -0.1509 | -3.83 | |
| -0.0277 | -0.65 | |
| 0.0910 | 2.06 | |
| -0.0260 | -0.60 | |
| -0.0966 | -1.97 | |
| 0.2979 | 5.10 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 9, 1994 to Feb 10, 2026
Aug 9, 1994 to Feb 10, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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