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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.7164	5.47
$α$	0.1602	7.12
$β$	0.7080	21.71
$γ_{1}$	0.0292	0.38
$γ_{2}$	-0.1611	-1.44
$γ_{3}$	0.2276	2.95
$γ_{4}$	-0.0687	-0.93
$γ_{5}$	-0.0835	-1.14
$γ_{6}$	0.0332	0.35
$γ_{7}$	0.1879	1.51
$γ_{8}$	-0.3488	-2.93
$γ_{9}$	0.3011	3.40
$γ_{10}$	-0.0244	-0.21

V-Lab

Asahi Intelligence Service Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:34.09% (+0.19%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecasts

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