Novarese Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:17.97% (+6.69%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9597 | 2.77 | |
| 0.5044 | 3.13 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| -9.9219 | -2.10 | |
| 17.0621 | 2.27 | |
| -7.8298 | -0.87 | |
| -6.0886 | -0.54 | |
| 18.2798 | 1.81 | |
| -21.4313 | -2.07 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 30, 2023 to Feb 10, 2026
Jun 30, 2023 to Feb 10, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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