Organic Tea Cosmetics Hldgs Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 19th, 2026:140.50% (+1.86%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2102 | 4.31 | |
| 0.2934 | 4.11 | |
| 0.3998 | 3.69 | |
| 2.6926 | 3.01 | |
| -3.8482 | -2.92 | |
| 2.0923 | 2.95 | |
| -2.1160 | -2.85 | |
| 1.7929 | 1.98 | |
| -0.2974 | -0.29 | |
| -0.9982 | -0.75 | |
| 1.0861 | 0.63 | |
| 0.4482 | 0.18 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 4, 2016 to Feb 13, 2026
Nov 4, 2016 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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