Araya Industrial Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:24.33% (-3.39%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0625 | 5.49 | |
| 0.1443 | 6.09 | |
| 0.7273 | 17.38 | |
| 0.1266 | 2.42 | |
| -0.1677 | -2.27 | |
| 0.0267 | 0.53 | |
| 0.0243 | 0.51 | |
| 0.0352 | 0.53 | |
| -0.0979 | -1.02 | |
| 0.0643 | 0.68 | |
| 0.0444 | 0.53 | |
| -0.2653 | -2.42 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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