Mortgage Service Japan Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:80.44% (-10.81%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4881 | 3.42 | |
| 0.1522 | 4.26 | |
| 0.7235 | 13.38 | |
| 1.8714 | 1.80 | |
| -3.3577 | -1.93 | |
| 3.3175 | 2.80 | |
| -3.8856 | -4.16 | |
| 3.5941 | 3.86 | |
| -2.2123 | -2.84 | |
| 1.4206 | 1.22 | |
| -2.6999 | -1.58 | |
| 6.7980 | 2.34 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 19, 2016 to Feb 10, 2026
Dec 19, 2016 to Feb 10, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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