Tractial SA Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 12th, 2026:79.18% (-5.04%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5819 | 2.72 | |
| 0.1828 | 2.47 | |
| 0.5465 | 4.33 | |
| -2.8303 | -0.81 | |
| 7.1700 | 1.51 | |
| -8.6068 | -2.29 | |
| 11.0000 | 2.67 | |
| -14.4874 | -4.01 | |
| 17.2047 | 4.83 | |
| -18.3120 | -4.51 | |
| 10.4354 | 2.26 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 18, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 18, 2021 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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