Pu'er Lancang Ancient Tea Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:195.35% (-1.55%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7704 | 1.41 | |
| 0.4144 | 3.14 | |
| 0.5361 | 6.41 | |
| 1.2536 | 0.01 | |
| -7.3778 | -0.06 | |
| 24.2323 | 0.50 | |
| -39.6416 | -0.79 | |
| 20.3582 | 0.28 | |
| 25.4426 | 0.22 | |
| -147.2490 | -0.90 | |
| 373.0291 | 2.77 | |
| -447.5684 | -6.46 | |
| 327.6388 | 3.19 |
Estimation Period:
Dec 22, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
Dec 22, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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