Aida Engineering Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:39.90% (+12.98%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1607 | 8.17 | |
| 0.1137 | 7.45 | |
| 0.7860 | 28.19 | |
| -0.0196 | -0.70 | |
| 0.0905 | 2.18 | |
| -0.1409 | -4.35 | |
| 0.1102 | 2.94 | |
| -0.0537 | -1.51 | |
| -0.0030 | -0.09 | |
| 0.0432 | 1.17 | |
| -0.0599 | -1.52 | |
| 0.0397 | 0.72 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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