CITIC Securities Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:27.70% (+2.42%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2662 | 5.19 | |
| 0.0955 | 3.79 | |
| 0.7589 | 12.85 | |
| -0.2370 | -0.67 | |
| 0.8819 | 1.70 | |
| -1.7017 | -4.38 | |
| 2.0848 | 5.98 | |
| -1.4166 | -4.21 | |
| 0.3296 | 0.94 | |
| 0.1618 | 0.47 | |
| -0.2341 | -0.66 | |
| 0.6176 | 1.42 | |
| -1.6367 | -2.06 |
Estimation Period:
Oct 6, 2011 to Feb 6, 2026
Oct 6, 2011 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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