Tokai Carbon Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:25.53% (+0.69%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0546 | 7.76 | |
| 0.1130 | 7.94 | |
| 0.8286 | 47.93 | |
| -0.0900 | -2.00 | |
| 0.1838 | 2.64 | |
| -0.1721 | -3.41 | |
| 0.0808 | 1.68 | |
| 0.0801 | 1.93 | |
| -0.2013 | -4.98 | |
| 0.2532 | 4.63 | |
| -0.2507 | -3.77 | |
| 0.1711 | 2.75 | |
| -0.1130 | -1.37 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 10, 2026
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 10, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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