Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index

CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index

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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.3069	3.13
$α$	0.0907	5.93
$β$	0.8124	19.07
$γ_{1}$	-0.1640	-1.24
$γ_{2}$	0.3312	2.00
$γ_{3}$	-0.3242	-4.56
$γ_{4}$	0.2653	2.44
$γ_{5}$	-0.2289	-1.82
$γ_{6}$	0.2626	2.25
$γ_{7}$	-0.2470	-2.89
$γ_{8}$	0.1965	2.70
$γ_{9}$	-0.1239	-1.13

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Digital Garage Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:71.92% (+26.80%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

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