Tsumura & Co Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:36.40% (-1.33%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3425 | 7.94 | |
| 0.1423 | 6.02 | |
| 0.6998 | 16.44 | |
| 0.0078 | 0.53 | |
| -0.0070 | -0.32 | |
| -0.0167 | -1.23 | |
| 0.0389 | 3.39 | |
| -0.0379 | -2.81 | |
| 0.0502 | 2.24 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
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