Mercari Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, February 17th, 2026:61.03% (-2.59%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0363 | 6.08 | |
| 0.0522 | 1.81 | |
| 0.2230 | 0.51 | |
| -0.1073 | -0.11 | |
| 0.5918 | 0.37 | |
| -1.5644 | -1.43 | |
| 2.6220 | 3.43 | |
| -2.9450 | -3.95 | |
| 1.5856 | 1.73 | |
| 1.0452 | 0.99 | |
| -2.9265 | -2.75 | |
| 3.8532 | 3.44 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 19, 2018 to Feb 13, 2026
Jun 19, 2018 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities