Constellium Se Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 19th, 2026:4,239,921,173,795,570,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.00% (0.00%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 9.3968 | 93,968,260.00 | |
| 0.7201 | 7,200,790.00 | |
| 0.1807 | 1,806,770.00 | |
| -38.4797 | -384,797,400.00 | |
| 30.2235 | 302,234,600.00 | |
| -263.9121 | -2,639,121,000.00 | |
| 1,080.0410 | 10,800,410,000.00 | |
| -1,411.4710 | -14,114,710,000.00 | |
| 737.8272 | 7,378,272,000.00 | |
| -139.6592 | -1,396,592,000.00 | |
| -39.5704 | -395,704,100.00 | |
| 138.0992 | 1,380,992,000.00 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 2014 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 2, 2014 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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