Baikowski SAS Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:47.67% (-0.74%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0507 | 0.03 | |
| 0.3798 | 0.59 | |
| 0.0705 | 0.06 | |
| 1,067.2180 | 6.70 | |
| -1,639.1910 | -8.28 | |
| 719.8330 | 13.06 | |
| -167.3085 | -7.14 | |
| 24.5563 | 2.33 | |
| -4.4980 | -1.44 | |
| -0.8382 | -0.13 | |
| -0.0713 | -0.01 | |
| 0.7578 | 0.05 |
Estimation Period:
Jun 7, 2019 to Feb 13, 2026
Jun 7, 2019 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
Other Baikowski SAS Analyses
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities