Baroque Japan Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 20th, 2026:4.21% (+0.16%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.6048 | 6.35 | |
| 0.1503 | 2.80 | |
| 0.4113 | 3.00 | |
| 3.0071 | 2.70 | |
| -4.1161 | -2.03 | |
| 2.0782 | 1.28 | |
| -1.9882 | -1.92 | |
| 1.4192 | 1.68 | |
| -0.9308 | -0.96 | |
| 1.5309 | 1.69 | |
| -2.1430 | -2.87 | |
| 3.2080 | 3.17 | |
| -7.1113 | -3.01 |
Estimation Period:
Nov 1, 2016 to Feb 13, 2026
Nov 1, 2016 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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