Tianjin Guoan Mengguli NEW Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:45.64% (-5.80%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7520 | 3.37 | |
| 0.2330 | 2.49 | |
| 0.0000 | 0.00 | |
| 23.0793 | 1.16 | |
| -8.6205 | -0.31 | |
| -32.8874 | -1.89 | |
| 50.6469 | 2.88 | |
| -72.8382 | -4.27 | |
| 69.3016 | 2.63 | |
| -52.3478 | -1.54 | |
| 49.2598 | 1.60 | |
| -54.3489 | -2.12 | |
| 64.8683 | 2.14 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 9, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
Aug 9, 2023 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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