First Baking Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Friday, February 13th, 2026:25.31% (-1.65%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0624 | 5.96 | |
| 0.1932 | 6.78 | |
| 0.7215 | 21.61 | |
| -0.0642 | -1.12 | |
| 0.1504 | 1.79 | |
| -0.1790 | -3.03 | |
| 0.1272 | 1.87 | |
| -0.0065 | -0.09 | |
| -0.1026 | -1.35 | |
| 0.1025 | 1.12 | |
| -0.0441 | -0.54 | |
| 0.1292 | 1.54 | |
| -0.2332 | -2.13 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 5, 1990 to Feb 10, 2026
Jan 5, 1990 to Feb 10, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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