Tonymoly Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:48.95% (-3.83%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4552 | 3.39 | |
| 0.1320 | 3.26 | |
| 0.5917 | 4.85 | |
| 0.3208 | 0.41 | |
| 0.0616 | 0.06 | |
| -0.2901 | -0.42 | |
| -0.3352 | -0.36 | |
| -0.5888 | -0.49 | |
| 2.6411 | 2.56 | |
| -3.1757 | -3.92 | |
| 2.1452 | 2.08 | |
| -1.6112 | -1.58 | |
| 1.4634 | 1.11 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 10, 2015 to Feb 6, 2026
Jul 10, 2015 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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