Zegona Communications Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:57.90% (+5.23%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6691 | 4.06 | |
| 0.3067 | 2.38 | |
| 0.3339 | 2.41 | |
| 1.6891 | 1.55 | |
| -3.1437 | -1.84 | |
| 2.9062 | 2.32 | |
| -2.8987 | -1.88 | |
| 2.6598 | 1.55 | |
| -2.5864 | -1.59 | |
| 2.6662 | 1.55 | |
| -1.3928 | -0.88 | |
| -0.2882 | -0.26 | |
| 0.1797 | 0.14 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 29, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
Jul 29, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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