Hong Tai Electron Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 9th, 2026:27.23% (+0.40%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1004 | 6.40 | |
| 0.1439 | 8.65 | |
| 0.7562 | 26.68 | |
| 0.0667 | 1.95 | |
| -0.1798 | -3.66 | |
| 0.2388 | 7.20 | |
| -0.2493 | -6.58 | |
| 0.1967 | 4.12 | |
| -0.0660 | -1.23 | |
| 0.0182 | 0.33 | |
| -0.1559 | -2.18 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 18, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
Jan 18, 1995 to Feb 6, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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