Sho-Bond Holdings Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:53.58% (-7.15%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7003 | 3.02 | |
| 0.1424 | 6.90 | |
| 0.7597 | 25.86 | |
| -0.1838 | -3.33 | |
| 0.3119 | 4.26 | |
| -0.2348 | -4.50 | |
| 0.1663 | 3.35 | |
| -0.0943 | -2.17 | |
| 0.0489 | 1.23 | |
| -0.0210 | -0.54 | |
| 0.0384 | 1.02 | |
| -0.1035 | -2.14 | |
| 0.1943 | 1.92 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
Jan 4, 1990 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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