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	param	t-stat
$ω$	1.0356	9.67
$α$	0.0608	4.73
$β$	0.8683	29.03
$γ_{1}$	0.0222	3.23
$γ_{2}$	-0.0372	-2.70

V-Lab

AIA Group Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:36.87% (+2.72%)

Date Range:

Parameter Estimates

News Impact Curve

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