Asia Business Daily Co Ltd Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, February 19th, 2026:37.01% (+2.35%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7023 | 1.66 | |
| 0.1377 | 5.01 | |
| 0.7893 | 20.31 | |
| -1.7313 | -1.59 | |
| 2.5490 | 1.83 | |
| -1.4537 | -1.91 | |
| 1.8107 | 1.79 | |
| -2.6078 | -2.85 | |
| 2.0332 | 2.60 | |
| -0.2291 | -0.32 | |
| -0.8983 | -0.79 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 31, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
Jul 31, 2015 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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