Yellowcake PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, February 16th, 2026:43.02% (-3.03%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4304 | 4,304,170.00 | |
| 0.2245 | 2,244,510.00 | |
| 0.7755 | 7,755,480.00 | |
| 17.2147 | 172,146,900.00 | |
| -49.9584 | -499,584,300.00 | |
| 60.0718 | 600,718,000.00 | |
| -41.3850 | -413,849,900.00 | |
| 11.5331 | 115,330,800.00 | |
| 11.7205 | 117,205,400.00 | |
| -15.8327 | -158,326,900.00 | |
| 2.0810 | 20,809,840.00 | |
| 17.2317 | 172,316,900.00 | |
| -19.5223 | -195,222,600.00 |
Estimation Period:
Aug 5, 2019 to Feb 13, 2026
Aug 5, 2019 to Feb 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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