V-Lab
Yext, Inc. ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
4,797.72
1 Week
4,766.98
1 Month
4,582.53
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 14, 2017 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 111 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 28% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1033 | 11.27*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8760 | 182.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0289 | 2.39** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 14.89*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9993 | 1,186.80*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
111 days
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